First of all, thanks everyone for coming to the Arkansas Weather Blog. Today we will hit a milestone... 100,000 hits since our re-launch in late July of this year. That means, we are on pace to a quarter million hits in one year.
Now onto why you came here... Cold air is trapped at the surface and moisture should begin to override that cold dome late today and tonight. I have seen this many times in Arkansas with retreating arctic air. Here's what usually happens... the precipitation can start a bit sooner than the models forecast, the cold air stays much longer than the models forecast (highs could really bust Wednesday), and a little moisture can cause BIG problems.
I feel strongly the biggest threat to seeing LIGHT amounts of precipitation with readings below freezing for several hours will be north and east of Little Rock. That cold air will be tough to dislodge Wednesday, but we should manage to head above freezing for central Arkansas, but it's going to be a gloomy looking day!
Remember, it only takes a very small amount of freezing rain/sleet to cause travel headaches and if you're traveling north, be careful.
Many of you remarked in the comment section about the BIG snowstorm in January of 1988. I remember the storm well and have pictures. I will post something about it soon.
Below are computer generated graphics showing the progression of the light frozen precipitation and rain Wednesday morning.
|By midnight, some light rain in S. AR|
|Some LIGHT frozen precip. on the northern fringe by 3 AM.|
|Mostly rain central and south with light frozen precip. north by 6 AM|
|All rain by 9AM central and south with light frozen precip. north and northeast|
|Warm air winning across much of the state by noon Wednesday with the exception of far east and northeast AR|