Monday, December 06, 2010

Severe Thundersnow

8:30 PM Monday Update... I hope to have a full update on the winter weather possibilities Tuesday morning.  Whatever illness I have, it's not leaving and is worse than when I got it Saturday.   


A quick glance of the new NAM does indicate higher amounts of precipitation for the Arklatex.  This piece of energy is trying to get everyone's attention with each model run.  This will not be a big storm, but some may have a little "Holiday Spirit" falling from the sky.  


Make sure to check out the "computer model" page by clicking on the link above.  Our exclusive "Futurecast" will update twice daily.  Shortly after midnight and after the noon hour.  


If you do end up getting a little snow, remember, send pictures to photo@katv.com.  We'll show them on the air and on the blog.  Until Tuesday AM, goodnight!


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12:30 PM Monday Update... Our exclusive model, "Futurecast" is showing some light snow amounts across a large swath of Arkansas.  I think it is overdone, but it's a good indication as to where a few flakes could fly Tuesday night/ Wednesday morning.  I'll have more later.

Exclusive Ch. 7 model "Futurecast".  Monday AM run.

10:30 AM Monday Update... Snowbirdbob has sent in his "Sweet Spot" for the little piece of energy tomorrow night which could produce a little light snow.  Bob is going with 1'' of snow in Magnolia, AR.  We'll see how good his forecast turns out.


Snowbirdbob may be onto something here.  The models continue to show very light precipitation moving through the SW 1/2 of the state Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.  I'll have a new post about this soon.  While I'm feeling better, I'm still battling whatever I have.  My throat is very soar and I can barely talk.  Video blog might not happen... stay tuned.
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If you think Arkansas weather can be extreme, check this out...

No, this has absolutely nothing to do with Arkansas weather, but for all of you who are fascinated by weather, this will definitely get your attention.  The WeatherNinja and I were talking a few weeks ago and were wondering if there has ever been an instance of a severe thunderstorm producing snow.  I recalled a situation several years ago in Illinois when it actually happened.  This was not a typical severe weather setup.  It appears a snow squall with dangerously high winds was passing just northeast of Peoria, IL.  To warn for the destructive wind, the National Weather Service issued a severe thunderstorm warning.  Check out the warning text and the radar imagery below.


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
602 PM CST TUE FEB 11 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MARSHALL COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 645 PM CST

* AT 602 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...WITH HEAVY SNOW... OVER SPARLAND...OR
ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LACON...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
HENRY
LACON
VARNA
TOLUCA
WENONA

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THIS DANGEROUS
STORM. GO TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. ABANDON CARS AND MOBILE HOMES IF YOU ARE IN THE
WARNED AREA.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR ANY STORM DAMAGE TO YOUR LOCAL ESDA...OR THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY...FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE. STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

video

18 comments:

Jason H said...

Awesome. 2 years ago here in Randolph County we had thundersleet, it was pretty cool.

Ash said...

I was wondering why the snowfall maps on accu weather for Saturday show 1-3 inches of snowfall on Arkansas?? I hope so that would be great. I saw someone post about some snow this weekend.

Todd, do you have any insight on these maps? NWS shows just rain.. but is there a chance the temps could drop?? Im so hopeful!

Anonymous said...

Hi todd pretty neat thunderstorm with snow. The closest thing i remember to that happening here in little rock was sometime in the early 90s . It was about 30 degrees with thunder and lightning with about two inches of sleet i can remember me an a friend standing in the middle of it. anyway i looked at all the forecasts an so winter weather for central arkansas in the next 10 days at the very least. i guess u realize this tp because u have not posted anything about any possible winter weather down the road plus the blog is quiet. oh well what else in new.

Anonymous said...

I see your already scrambling todd to find other weather events to keep the bloggers occupied with this boring weather. TODD if your snowfall prediction u gave before the contest started comes true then ninja will lose the bet. He has to have two inches at either airport. This is going to be as easy as taking candy from a baby. lol

Anonymous said...

I was wondering if ya'll had any opinions on the front Saturday? I see NWS is discussing Arkansas possible damaging wind gusts that day! Any thoughts yet?

Jason H said...

I like this sweet spot deal from Snowbird. Ill go ahead and throw out my guess of Arkadelphia "a little N of his guess", but Im going with a half instead of the big inch. :-)

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the reply Snowbird. I actually live fairly close to the Magnolia area so I hope you are right!!!!

jimmylee42 said...

Todd-

Someone commented about a sleet storm in the early 90's. I was home in WLR that day and it was December 22nd 1990. That morning, according to my old notes, it started out with a freezing rain. In the afternoon between 3:30 and 8:00 pm we had thunder sleet with some pretty loud claps. The temps that day were high of 27 low of 23. Next on the 23rd with 2-3 inches of sleet on the ground we had a high of 21 and low of 18 with snow flurries all day. Of course it left us with a white Christmas becsause it remained cold until the 29th.

Jason H said...

This is a question for Bob, anyone can answer. You said you been chasing Winter Storms for a while. Just wondering if you can recall a couple storms we got here in Randolph County in NE Arkansas back in Jan or Feb of 94'. I measured 18 inches of snow. I would love to find some data on that event. The other was a ice storm that year too, but im more interested in the snowstorm. It was by far the most snow I have ever got here. I know it was a long time ago. Thanks, Jason

tboyce1979 said...

Okay, so I'm not a negative person and I certainly try and refrain from the "Hugh" attitude, BUT, with that being said, I am really starting to doubt our chances for much of a winter. Let's face it, this has not been our year for "awesome" weather since the snow in February. No one is talking about anymore upcoming chances and everyone is pretty quite. Even weather channel just has us bright and sunny bright and sunny 24/7. If I'm wrong let me know. Does anyone see anymore snow in the nearer future?

SNOWBIRD BOB said...

This is to Jason H. No, Jason dont remember that event, I didn't actually start chasing in Arkansas until 1995-96 year. Still in high school in 1994 lol.

Anonymous said...

Snowbird Bob, how much snow could you see for Springhill, LA?

Anonymous said...

How much for Pine Bluff?

SNOWBIRD BOB said...

For Pine Bluff maybe dusting to quarter inch not much lol. Hope for more!!

For Springhill,La quarter to half inch not much either, Hope for more!

Just my thoughts. By no means is this set in stone, could be more or less??

Anonymous said...

Hope your right Bob!!! Watch, everyone thinking just a dusting and we get 5 inches!

Amy said...

Cmon magic Christmas snow....for Ronnia!!! Keep us posted on the very latest Snowbird, Feel better soon Todd!!

Shack said...

Well wishes Todd, get better soon!

Thanks for all the updates while being sick.

Shack

The WeatherNinja said...

Looks like the higher elevations of W/SW Ar have the best shot at seeing some accumulation. Looking at the GFS this morning I wouldn't be surprised to see an inch or so in places like Rich Mountain near Mena.

Next shot comes Saturday as a strong front moves through the state, may be some wrap around snowfall in the N and maybe getting into Central Ar as the system moves through.