1) COULD LITTLE ROCK DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS? HAVEN'T DONE THAT IN 15 YEARS.
2) FRIDAY SNOW CHANCES
3) IT'S DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER CENTRAL U.S SNOW STORM NEXT TUESDAY FOLLOWED BY A HUGE BLAST OF COLD AIR.
4) THE DAY 10 EUROPEAN MAP SCREAMS SPRING
Thanks for a fun day on the blog and on twitter. Stay warm. We have experienced more than a 50 degree swing from Saturday to today. You gotta love Arkansas weather.
Catch my drift? Huge snow drifts after a record snow in Tulsa. This is from our sister station in Tulsa...
Snowbirdbob chased in Bentonville. He has 8'' with a temperature of 12 degrees. He said visibility dropped to about 100 yards. Enjoy the pics. and THANKS BOB!
7:30 AM Tuesday Update... It's here and absolutely fascinating to watch. You don't get to experience a system so dynamic very many times in your life. Already this morning we have had hail covering the ground in Fordyce while just a short drive to the west in Mena... THUNDERSNOW! If you think it's wild now, it only gets crazier throughout the day. The cold air will begin pouring into central Arkansas late this morning into the early afternoon. At this time it still appears any frozen precipitation will be brief and light, but northern Arkansas will get smacked by this. Our winds will howl out of the west and north as our temperatures TANK!
I'm still watching for the possibility of some light frozen precipitation late this week, especially for southern Arkansas. Some models say no, while others say yes. Not clear how that next system will evolve. I'll keep you updated throughout the day here on the blog and on TWITTER! check out the picture from Fordyce this morning below of hail covering the ground.
|Fordyce hail shortly before 7AM Tuesday sent in by Stephanie Garner|
Most of the models are now showing a track of the surface low a little further south and east. This will still place far western and northwestern Arkansas in a position for ice, then snow. There will be a very sharp gradient in the snowfall amounts with more than a foot possible in the northwest corner to just a few inches about 30-50 miles southeast. The Ozarks will be the target for a major winter storm. Further south into central Arkansas, if the low does track a little further east and south, we will stay cold with rain only. Any further northward adjustment will bring a severe thunderstorm threat into central Arkansas. Right now, it appears the southeastern corner could have a few severe thunderstorms and the storm prediction center has that portion of the state under a slight risk.
The arctic air will begin to arrive in central Arkansas around 1 PM to 4 PM Tuesday afternoon. At that time, temperatures will TANK and winds will become very, very strong reaching speeds of 20-30 mph sustained with higher gusts. A strong punch of dry air will cut off the precipitation as this happens, but there could be a very brief period of LIGHT sleet and snow as it comes to an end. While all this is happening, northern Arkansas will be getting some snow.
Now what about temperatures? This is going to be a huge story as some of the coldest air so far this season moves into the state. Look for lows across snow covered northern Arkansas Thursday and Friday morning around 0 or even below. Highs will not get above freezing across much of the state Wednesday and Thursday. As a matter of fact, it may take several days to get above freezing across the north with all the snow on the ground. Any wind on those cold nights will send wind chill factors anywhere from -10 to -20 degrees up north.
Here's the 12Z GFS snowfall accumulation map for this first storm.
|NW Arkansas gets smacked. Notice much of the country gets snow from this ONE storm... MONSTER!|
|Snow totals from our exclusive "Futurecast" More than 7'' in Fayetteville. It's literally off the chart in NE Oklahoma and southwest Missouri. The color palette ran out of colors. LOL|
Also, Snowbirdbob is snow chasing and on his way to northwest Arkansas where he will keep us updated right here with his twitter feed. He came through Little Rock and we had lunch with him (WeatherNinja, Erich, his brother, Andria, and Blake.) We even got a soundbite from him for the evening news on Channel 7. You've heard of storm chasers, but what about snow chasers? Snowbirdbob is one of them and we wish him all the luck finding that deep powdery snow!
|12Z CMC for Friday afternoon showing light and moderate snow across the southern half of the state. This is basically the only model showing this scenario. I'll keep you updated.|
|Snowbirdbob in the LSU shirt. We need to work on that Bob.|