|00Z GFS snow depth indicates generally 1'' or less. The big amounts of snow in NE Oklahoma is the current snow on the ground from Tuesday's storm.|
|The 00Z NAM indicating 2-4'' across much of central and southern Arkansas Friday. This could be a little overdone. Something to watch though.|
12:20 PM Thursday Update... I don't think we'll get out of the 20s today in central Arkansas with all these clouds around. The arctic express isn't going anywhere fast. There are some uncertainties about Friday due to the GFS model not showing much in the way of snowfall while the NAM brings in a few inches across the Southeast. To throw another curve ball, our exclusive "futurecast" model from its 12Z run (6am) now shows accumulating snow across much of the state. What makes this interesting is the fact this model is based off the GFS initialization. As for the Wednesday system next week, all the major long range models are on board with the storm. I stress, don't look at specifics because they will change with each and every model run. But we'll be watching it for sure. Below is the 12Z Futurecast model...
|Exclusive 12Z Futurecast model|
The models continue to struggle sorting out all the details over the next week, but the picture is becoming a little bit more clear. The weak system coming through Friday is moisture starved, BUT the Euro is putting out .03'' of water. This will be in the form of light snow and flurries and it will not amount to much at all. The bulk of the moisture should stay well south and east of Arkansas where a rare snow/ice event is shaping up for south Texas into Louisiana... have fun Snowbirdbob!
A weak wave of moisture may affect the state Sunday, but the models are keying in on something next Tuesday into Wednesday.
The GFS is suppressing it to the south, but the Euro is bringing it north. I still feel good about a BIG warm up by the following weekend into the next week. This is of course in the long range so things will more than likely change again.
Check out the maps below...
|Channel 7's exclusive "Futurecast" showing some south Arkansas snow possible Friday|
|The 00Z Euro indicates low pressure developing in the northern Gulf next Wednesday. The colors indicate the 850mb temperatures well below freezing. This model suggests that if anything falls, it's ALL snow.|