tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post632404316565846336..comments2023-03-12T03:56:00.991-05:00Comments on Arkansas Weather Blog: Winter To Roar Next 7 Days... Then Swing To SpringUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger24125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-84269572591620263822011-02-06T22:36:21.993-06:002011-02-06T22:36:21.993-06:00Tina, the golf course is the place to be! Lots of...Tina, the golf course is the place to be! Lots of sledding going on over at North Hills whenever snow falls.Chad Gardnerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03066121533612001368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-80725230228599964812011-02-06T16:43:26.198-06:002011-02-06T16:43:26.198-06:00Hello Everyone, I am going to head straight into t...Hello Everyone, I am going to head straight into the Mid-Week system, 1st do I think this will be a record breaking Snow Storm for the Little Rock area, NO! As I stated in a blog post a couple of days ago,I beleive the highest snow totals will be in South & Western Ark, I would say upwards of 10 Inches along the I-30 Corridor from Texarkana up to about Hope & Arkledelphia, Closer to Little Rock area I would say 4-8 Inches will be likely, I wouldnt rule out a foot or more in the Ouachita's Due to higher snowfall-Ratios..One thing I am concerned about or excited about is most of the models are showing the storm losing alot of its moisture as it heads east across Arkansas, I dont think this will be the case, I beleive most people in the state of Ark will see accumulating snowfall..I like the Canadian model of choice, It has handled these situations well in the past, Not only this year but for years,Another thing that could really help snowfall totals is the slowing of the system Wens night, This could really pile up the snow in Southern Ark, areas such as El,Dorado, Camden, Crosset, Montec llia, We could be talking about 5-10 inches of snow for that area, But, This is just a possibility, All in All I beleive the big winner will be the Sweet Spot of the Big Town Of Hope,Ark with 7-10 Inches...We Shall See...:) I sticking with the Triangle Winter Storm OKC down to Dallas over to Little Rock, down to I-20 Of Northern La, In this area is where I think the highest Snowfall totals will be, Hopefully I dont strike out...lol..Snowbird Bobnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-3543142315567510692011-02-06T16:41:41.804-06:002011-02-06T16:41:41.804-06:00NLRweatherman dont worry it wont end up like that....NLRweatherman dont worry it wont end up like that. The cold air will already be here. I have my thoughts but will wait until our live blog on Tues evening. Make sure u tune in at 7p.m.<br /><br />Paul The WxguruAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-26825627081753276512011-02-06T16:36:19.558-06:002011-02-06T16:36:19.558-06:00snobirdbob you got me good this year. it looks lik...snobirdbob you got me good this year. it looks like you are the winner of hour snow contest. i just didnt think the snow would come but it did just lkie you said it would. i owe you some dinners i know and ninja to so far we have got alot of snow in little rock and i never thought we would but it came like you said it would and i owe you some dinners to. i dont think we will se much snow frm tonite or this week i think the models are not correct and it will bust for sure and you will be disapointed for sure and after next week we will see a big warm up. yep we are done with the snow and will have a warm rest of winter and spring. i have been away for a while but now am back. i will try to get you a dinner and ninJa what do you want. it might take me a bit but yu won fair and sqare.<br /><br />this is hugh.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-79241850105481778442011-02-06T16:04:27.470-06:002011-02-06T16:04:27.470-06:00Fanatic-
I think this winter has been a little co...Fanatic-<br /><br />I think this winter has been a little colder overall than the last winters of this warmer cycle. I think the NWS says a little over 2 degrees for December and 1 degree for January below normal. Before last winter I think we were getting accustomed to milder winters. Snowfall has been totaling more for us last winter and this winter and as we finish this one I believe we will finish in the double digit snowfall total.<br /><br />Back in the cold winter cycles I used to keep up with the number of days in the winter season that the days failed to reach a high of 40. I would count days in Nov and Mar also to add to the total if any. It was just a way for me to measure and assign my own criteria for a cold winter. 1977-78 had 51 days with highs under 40 as the Jet locked up for a long period of time. I remember the NWS and Tom Bonner relating that event at the time. Most interesting winter with snow on the ground for 5 or 6 weeks. Officially, it wasn't that long. As you know snow acc. or pack is measured only on flat ground in sun,not shade for official depth. But there was snow laying around for at least that long.<br /><br />Anyway, we have 15 or so days under 40 degree highs so far, and I think that is near average for LR winters. I also used to look at number of days with lows under 20 and snowfall totals for criteria. If we get another 10 days before the end of March with highs under 40, I will consider this an overall colder winter without additional snowfall.<br /><br />I did a little looking at a 30 year period the other day from the winters of 58-59 to 87-88 and those years averaged 7.55 inches per winter for us. Most of that was in the cold cycle. I love winter history.jimmylee42noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-45260618178590498102011-02-06T15:44:52.032-06:002011-02-06T15:44:52.032-06:00The temps keep rising for midweek storm with wed. ...The temps keep rising for midweek storm with wed. high of 31 where it was mid 20s yesterday. I was under the impression that it would be plenty cold with cold air in place. Just wandering?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-81043779513994705732011-02-06T12:03:39.324-06:002011-02-06T12:03:39.324-06:00I really hope this isn't a repeat of march 200...I really hope this isn't a repeat of march 2008 where i thought I was going to wake up to 4 inches of snow with another 6 during the day. I woke up to rain and ended up with 2 inches that night. Huge disappointed, I don't ever want something like that to happen again and I hope this is big and doesn't bustnlrweathermannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-33334253120857153972011-02-06T10:52:14.892-06:002011-02-06T10:52:14.892-06:00Thanks Jimmie Lee for the info! I figured that it ...Thanks Jimmie Lee for the info! I figured that it probably happened during our last 20-30 year cold cycle. I know that you've said to watch out for the next few winters, but what do you think so far about this one? Getting an early start to colder and snowier winters! I wonder if the 77-78 winters had a La Nina influence? It sounds like we were locked into a colder than average pattern, very similar to this winter, which has delayed the typical warm-up for initial La Nina winters.<br /><br />As for tonight, this is a very dynamic system and I think the NAM is doing a good job. If the heaviest of the precip comes in before sunrise, then yes, the roads could get messy. If that is the case, we should all sleep in and go to work after 10 or so. This is the best case scenario for us snow lovers.<br /><br />As for Wednesday, I really hope the system slows down and brings the snow in later in the day. While this doesn't appear to be in the cards thus far, accumulation will be greater. If the snow is very heavy, it won't matter-it will stick, but we've seen what happens when temps are around 30-32 with snow falling during the day. So if we get the bulk of the precip falling during the daylight hours, lets hope it's very heavy!! <br /><br />If we can get the temps to stay in the upper 20's Wednesday, we'll be able to get more accumulation as well. Given these scenarios, it's going to be tough to nail down accumulations, so let's not worry about whether we only get 2 or 10 inches. It does appear the flakes will be flying, so let's enjoy it because this could be the last major event for a while. <br /><br />I personally think we have at least 1 more system this winter and it could be huge. March will be very active, and we've seen the last few years what can happen as we get closer to spring. This winter won't go out without a fight! I do welcome the warmer weather after this last cold spell. It will be interesting to see if the pattern takes just a temporary break, or becomes more zonal and brings us back to normal. Normal? What is that? Expect the unexpected!<br /><br />The Weather FanaticThe Weather Fanaticnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-2341241829800355552011-02-06T09:32:14.977-06:002011-02-06T09:32:14.977-06:00i know the memphis nws said nothing of the kind of...i know the memphis nws said nothing of the kind of the storm fading as it heads east. they say storm will has potential for 4 plus inhes there.Todd i think u are tired of this winter weather seems like you remind us of this huge warmup every post. Im thinking u are tired and wanting some relaxation. Dont worry hang in there a week from now the snow Should be over for the winter.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-58448201984521362862011-02-06T08:23:00.331-06:002011-02-06T08:23:00.331-06:00Do y'all think winter wx advisories will be is...Do y'all think winter wx advisories will be issued today?just curious.bimininoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-54643849093664631482011-02-05T23:55:14.866-06:002011-02-05T23:55:14.866-06:00Okay, so i'm getting excited now. But then I&#...Okay, so i'm getting excited now. But then I'm done! I just hope this doesn't do like last year where we had rain, snow, rain, snow, all day. We could have ended up with 17inches! I don't want that much snow, but another footer like the one in 88 will do quite nice thank you :) But then hopefully this is our last hurah for the year and we can bring on the thunderstorms :) <br /><br /><br />I wanna go chase with someone!! <br /><br />Hey Chad Gardner, wadda you say we get some folks and head down to North hills Country Club for a snowball fight?!tboyce1979noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-47846529278034774052011-02-05T23:51:52.465-06:002011-02-05T23:51:52.465-06:00If this run of the GFS verifies then we should def...If this run of the GFS verifies then we should definitely go with "SNO-VEREACTION!! Todd, you're making me have a bad feeling about this!!Amynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-53661869068810737022011-02-05T23:51:27.455-06:002011-02-05T23:51:27.455-06:00Oh well...c'est la vie...que sera sera...You k...Oh well...c'est la vie...que sera sera...You know that old saying "Don't count your snowflakes before they're falling"......Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-80218387000885617892011-02-05T23:47:27.270-06:002011-02-05T23:47:27.270-06:00The GFS flip-flop that you mentioned on this updat...The GFS flip-flop that you mentioned on this update is a concern, but you're right to not trust the models, whether it says we get a big snow or hardly any. I'm really trying not to get my hopes up, but it is not easy. :Pcb6000noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-74672734798629688192011-02-05T23:44:56.518-06:002011-02-05T23:44:56.518-06:00Really hope the GFS is wrong about it diminishing ...Really hope the GFS is wrong about it diminishing :(<br />I had a great feeling about this storm The NWS has snow percentages all week though. So maybe it will all pan out and we'll see LOTS of snow :)Winter Evenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-17801159130595491452011-02-05T22:26:51.862-06:002011-02-05T22:26:51.862-06:00Are yall backing off of the storm Wednesday? Just ...Are yall backing off of the storm Wednesday? Just curious bc Todd said in his forecast tonight that the models had disagreements. hope not! Love snow. Love the Blog!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-60899723263988387602011-02-05T20:13:24.472-06:002011-02-05T20:13:24.472-06:00Every weather outlet on the web is hitting on this...Every weather outlet on the web is hitting on this big storm for Tuesday-Thursday. If this happens it will be the biggest in many years. I remeber 1988 and the 14 inches we received in DeWitt. It was amazing thinking back.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-3162689764677312052011-02-05T18:38:53.962-06:002011-02-05T18:38:53.962-06:00I am really hoping for 1 day of school this week. ...I am really hoping for 1 day of school this week. Tuesday only! Anyway, when do we raise the alarm for the big midweek snowstorm?nlrweathermannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-90429937205294080802011-02-05T17:24:11.850-06:002011-02-05T17:24:11.850-06:00Just for fun my early Sweet Spot is Clinton Arkans...Just for fun my early Sweet Spot is Clinton Arkansas 13.5 inches.Jason Hhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13705237631094286841noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-89278931068268119742011-02-05T16:38:22.051-06:002011-02-05T16:38:22.051-06:00One correction on my comment above. The first week...One correction on my comment above. The first week that we had 3 snow events in 1978 started Jan 11, not Jan 9.jimmylee42noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-87115277623412359152011-02-05T15:56:33.168-06:002011-02-05T15:56:33.168-06:00Fanatic-
Saw your tweets where you asked about 3 ...Fanatic-<br /><br />Saw your tweets where you asked about 3 snow events in a week. I looked back at the notebook I kept in the winter of 77-78. It happened twice in January of 78. Man, do I remember that winter. One of the coldest of all time if not the coldest on average. Amazing to me that the coldest temp that winter I show as only 14 degrees,surprisingly, but the Jet stream locked up that year and kept us cold for about 6 or 7 weeks. Anyway the three snow events happened between Jan 9 and Jan 16. Also, Jan 19 through Jan 25.<br /><br />I'm not saying that is the only winter that has happened, because it may have happened in Feb 2003 and other times, but I don't have record of it.jimmylee42noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-14107493489483303092011-02-05T15:49:08.029-06:002011-02-05T15:49:08.029-06:00Well I havent talked about the weather on Twitter ...Well I havent talked about the weather on Twitter for a week now. I said on Twitter after we missed the BIG storm a week ago"that broke my heart" that I wasnt going to talk about the weather until 1. we went under a Winter Storm Watch or 2. Go under a Tornado Watch....well if the low tracks where it is showing I should be sitting under a Winter Storm Watch by Monday night or Tuesday morning. Ill be happy with anything over 4 inches, and we should get at least that! We have had a total of 4 inches off of 3 different storms up here in Randolph County. I would love one GOOD snow before our pre-Spring begins around the 13th.Jason Hhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13705237631094286841noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-35019955669838308492011-02-05T14:34:42.186-06:002011-02-05T14:34:42.186-06:00WOW! Maybe we should call it the "Blizzard of...WOW! Maybe we should call it the "Blizzard of OZ"! Amy said in a previous post "SNOtorious". We should use the complete name - "SNOtorious B.I.G.". Let's keep our fingers crossed. Let's hope it doesn't go too far north, south, east, or west. Let's hope we don't get dry-slotted, warm nosed, moisture starved, low dew pointed, high ground temped or any of those other things that usually happen to out chances of snow! If this happens, I will definitely be ready for the big warm up! If it doesn't happen, I still want one big snow before spring....<br /><br />Susan in Heber Springs....Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-75632759293277246812011-02-05T14:19:10.242-06:002011-02-05T14:19:10.242-06:00So glad I moved from Canada to Arkansas to experie...So glad I moved from Canada to Arkansas to experience this. Brrr!Heidilorenoreply@blogger.com