tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post854199765038426295..comments2023-03-12T03:56:00.991-05:00Comments on Arkansas Weather Blog: Watching Next Week (November 17th and 18th)Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-71831413837426583082016-11-15T07:39:17.143-06:002016-11-15T07:39:17.143-06:00One more thought. Outbreak? Where did I use the w...One more thought. Outbreak? Where did I use the word "outbreak"? You sited November 1983 in your list of analogues. I'm actually old enough to remember those tornadoes that month and what followed the next month. I guess raising awareness to the secondary severe weather season is something you would NOT do? interesting.Todd Yakoubianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12672149963369644783noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-72486886789011586812016-11-15T07:24:22.502-06:002016-11-15T07:24:22.502-06:00Where did I say we WOULD have severe weather? I e...Where did I say we WOULD have severe weather? I even say instability and moisture return are questionable. If you're new to the blog, I understand your point of view, but this is what I have done for the past 10 years here. <br /><br />Take careTodd Yakoubianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12672149963369644783noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16914987.post-7499711376465869782016-11-11T21:19:54.071-06:002016-11-11T21:19:54.071-06:00Most of the time I can respect your forecasts but ...Most of the time I can respect your forecasts but this one is just down right Wishcasting. Severe Thunderstorms next weekend, seriously? The Euro and GFS are both in agreement with the main low and area of energy being in the Dakotas and Minnesota with not a lot of moisture to work with at all and CAPE values not even reaching 1000 j/kg. Besides that, you've got your meteorological degree and have studied Arkansas's climate for years and you know that years similar to this one such as what the National Weather Service has posted on it's website have minimum severe weather. You have the weather app that you sell so you should know that in order for the entire state of Arkansas from strong El Nino to weak La Nina years: November through March tornado counts per secondary season: 1959-1960: 4 tornadoes. 1966-1967: 5 tornadoes. 1983-1984: 8 tornadoes. 1992-1993: 2 tornadoes. In other words, very rare for severe weather outbreaks during this kind of transition. Please don't scare people with non events like the one coming up this weekend because the public will lose their trust in meteorologists and they will ignore you when the true dangerous events will present a clear and present danger. Sean-Benton, AR Seannoreply@blogger.com