7:20 AM Monday Update... I have no changes to what I posted below. The ridge of high pressure currently located west of the state should edge a bit to the east. This will force the storm track away from us by the middle of the week. This will open the window to a hot and extremely humid period. I can see a situation where heat index readings push 105-110 degrees. Read below for more details. The summer contest numbers are updated.
__________________________________________________________________
Back to blogging as vacation is OVER. While I had fun at the beach, I love Arkansas weather just as much. Seriously, I'm not kidding. I guess that's why they call me the "weather geek."
This summer hasn't been bad at all. Only 2, 100 degree + days so far with less than a month of meteorological summer to go. This will likely go down as the coolest and wettest summer since 2009.
I am concerned with a three day stretch of hot and VERY humid conditions Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. While temperatures will not be extreme, there's going to be a ton of moisture in the air. This will help elevate the heat index into the triple digit category. I would not be surprised to see heat index temperatures range from 105 to 110 degrees. A heat advisory may be required for some portions of the Channel 7 viewing area.
This burst of heat shouldn't last long. I don't expect a huge cool down, but the temperatures will get knocked down a few degrees late in the week with some rain chances. In the 8-14 day time period, there could be a bigger chance for below average temperatures. Before you know it, football and fall will be here. I CAN'T WAIT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 |
| This is doppler radar rainfall estimates over the past 7 days. Most of the state has seen some rain. Very little across the south, but much higher amounts north. The saturated ground across the north could hold temperatures down a little, but the presence of high moisture levels will take the heat index into the dangerous category. The south will likely get in on this as well. |
 |
| While I expect high heat index values Tuesday through Thursday, I wanted to show you how widespread the heat will be Wednesday. The purple area which encompasses all of Arkansas except the far north indicates heat index valued around 110 degrees. |
 |
| For reference this week, here's a heat index chart from the NWS. We should easily make it into the "Danger" category. |
 |
| The NOAA 8-14 day outlook looks great. There's a good chance for below average temperatures across much of the central and eastern United States. |
No comments:
Post a Comment