The coming cold is an "arctic invasion" in every sense of the phrase. We're experiencing round number 1 with another arriving late Tuesday into Wednesday and that batch will be stronger. I think it's entirely possible to spend most of Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday below freezing for at least the northern half of the state including the metro.
The winds will be strong as the arctic chill first sets into Arkansas. I think it's very possible for "wind chill advisories" to be issued for the Wednesday/Thursday time frame across northern Arkansas. This will be pipe busting weather and you will need to remember PETS AND PEOPLE TOO!
I want to make it clear, this will not be the coldest air mass we have ever seen in this state, but it will be a shock for a few reasons. First, we have been relatively mild since the beginning of December with a trend towards colder air since Christmas. Second, the time spent below freezing will be significant. Third, it will come with strong winds taking wind chill readings below zero north and single digits central and south.
What good is cold without snow? I know many of you are saying that. There's a lot of chatter around social media about the chance for snow/ice next weekend. It's there on the models and I even discussed that a couple days ago on the blog. Once again, I will use my standard disclaimer. This is several days away and forecasting specifics is useless. It does appear IF any moisture arrives, the upper levels may be too warm to support snow for many of us, but the cold air at the surface may linger awhile. It's really too early to say for sure though. I think it's best to say the biggest weather story this week will be the cold and we'll have to watch next weekend. The timing is not certain either.
The following maps are from weatherbell.com
|Look at these lows Thursday morning. Single digits north with teens elsewhere. These are not records, but this will get your attention!!!!|
IN SUMMARY, WE'RE VERY CONFIDENT THE COLD AIR IS COMING, BUT AT THIS TIME, THE CHANCE FOR WINTRY WEATHER NEXT WEEKEND IS NOT A SURE THING. I KNOW MANY OF YOU ARE STARVING FOR SOME SORT OF WINTRY WEATHER. I DON'T WANT ICE. I MUCH RATHER HAVE SNOWFALL. REMEMBER, WINTER IS JUST GETTING UNDERWAY AND I'M SURE WE'LL HAVE MORE FUN AND GAMES OVER THE NEXT 2-3 MONTHS.
I'LL HAVE MORE MONDAY.