Thanksgiving Weekend Forecasting Headache

I think it's a given we're going to have rain and plenty of it.  Once again flooding will be a concern.  I think Thanksgiving will be mostly dry with a few light showers mainly over western Arkansas.

The forecasting headaches begin Friday and really push into Saturday.  The GFS and Euro disagree on frontal placement and that plays a huge role in forecasting temperatures.  One GFS model run had the front through central Arkansas and temperatures only in the 40s Saturday and now the newest run has us in the 60s.  What about the Euro?  I go over all that in this very detailed video.