Monday, October 23, 2017


We'll have two shots of much cooler air this week with the 2nd shot being the strongest.  Let's break down the first one arriving late today (Monday) into Tuesday.

Temperatures warm today, but then fall back (see what I did there?) Tuesday by 10-15°.  Ahead of that front today, we can warm well into the 70s, then highs will drop down into the 60s Tuesday with a lot of wind.  This wind worries me a little since we are deep into October and some of the leaves could be blown off the trees.  That would impact how nice they look this year at peak color.  This first shot of cooler air will NOT last long and we'll warm up briefly again Thursday well into the 70s to near 80 degrees.  The shot of cold air Friday will be interesting to track.  The Euro brings some rain behind the front which would make it even COLDER Friday, but the GFS is not showing much rainfall.  Of course, you know where I stand when it comes to the Euro vs GFS in the long range.  I would buy stock in the Euro if it was on the market.  Highs Friday could be set at midnight.  Temperatures could fall into the 40s during the day for western and northern Arkansas with areas of rain.  The Euro has most of it out of here by the time High School football gets underway, but you'll need warm clothes and an extra cup of hot chocolate.  Since this is still in the long range, things can change, but I think the GFS will look more like the Euro in time.

Next weekend, much of the state will have a chance at the first frost and/or freeze.  We'll have highs in the 50s and lows in the 20s and 30s.  Welcome fall!  Better late than never, right?

All images are courtesy of

By far, the Euro is most aggressive with rain chances Friday while the GFS shows barely anything.  Most of this would fall behind the front and if the Euro is right, this would take down temperatures even further Friday!

Look at 7PM Friday temperatures according to the Euro.  30s and 40s!  Hot chocolate, pumpkin spice, chili no beans type of air!

Lows Saturday morning according to the Euro are below freezing northwest.  If winds diminish, a frost will be possible.

Lows Sunday morning look cold too.

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