As of Wednesday morning, the GFS has a high temperature of 54° and the Euro of 49° so you can see where this is going now. I think northern Arkansas has highs only in the 40s with lower 50s elsewhere. Temperatures may even drop throughout the day. Now the big question, what about Monday morning? Certainly, this is the type of airmass which presents a frost/freeze danger. However, as Lee Corso says, "NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND." It will come down to clouds and wind. If one of those two are present, it will be cold, but it should not drop to freezing and the frost potential goes away. Nevertheless, we must watch this as we get closer because the potential is there.
For Little Rock, the average date of the last freeze is March 20th and the average date for the last frost is April 2nd. APRIL 2ND!!! Wow. So if we do end up with a frost, it's right on schedule to be that average last day. As I have been saying, don't plant just yet.
FYI, Easter sunrise is 6:56AM.
The following is GUIDANCE and not a forecast. You know how much I like to use the Euro, so here it is courtesy of EuroWx.com
12 hour rainfall ending 7AM Easter Sunday. |
Rainfall from 7AM to 7PM Easter Sunday |
Rainfall from 7PM Easter Sunday to 7AM Monday |
7AM temperatures Easter Sunday. Colder air is working into the state from north to south. It's COLD! Look at those 30s north and near 60 degree temps south. |
Temperatures may fall a bit during the day. By 7PM, we're in the lower 40s central with near freezing conditions far north. The black dashed line is the freezing line. |
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