Before I get into the model data, we will be starting the 2011-2012 winter contest soon so keep checking back for your chance to enter. The blog is about to rock and roll as winter approaches. If you are a regular to the blog, you know how I feel about long term forecasts (past 7-10 days). There is talk out there about the first half of winter being the roughest compared to the second part. I want to remind you about yet another LaNina pattern which proved this false. It was the winter of 2007-2008. It may have been cold for the first part, but the second part was NOT easy. January, February, and March brought some of the wildest swings in weather I have ever seen. We had multiple, major severe weather outbreaks only to be followed up with 2 historic snows in March. I want to caution everyone when reading long term outlooks that while the people make them use very sound reasoning. There's only one person in the end who knows!
|This is the latest GFS run from early Wednesday morning. It shows high pressure at the surface keeping it nice and dry. Perfect for Trick-or-Treaters!|