Wednesday, March 27, 2013
Winter Rolls into April
This will be a quick blog post with more to come later. This March is breaking records all over the state and even all over the country. While I think we have at least a solid two weeks until REAL spring gets here, there's more very interesting weather next week. In summary, we're not done with the cold yet. I'll have more about the how cold it has been in a historical perspective, but it's becoming clear this will go down as the coldest March in decades for several locations around the state. The good news, this keeps severe weather very limited, but I'm sure it will come roaring back at some point. Hopefully though this will shorten the severe weather season around here!
In the previous blog post I mentioned the sudden rise in the AO and research that has correlated that to heavy rain and/or severe weather events around here. At the time of writing that post, it looked like a sizable chunk of energy would roll off the Pacific and form a large storm system this weekend, but now all the models hold that energy well to the west. So the severe threat is lessened and this will be more of a rain event and it would not surprise me to see at least a couple inches of rain. The northern branch of the jet will deliver another shot of cold air next week, then that energy hanging out west may come in and interact with it. And yes, it would not surprise me if someone in Arkansas had some sort of wintry weather next week. We'll see how that plays out. Again more coming later, but here are a few maps about this weekend and next week.
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