Below the video blog is the SCHOOL:CON index for Tuesday. I will not issue one for Monday. The modeling is coming into better agreement with the timing of this and it looks like late Monday into early Tuesday. This is an extremely difficult job for school administrators deciding about class Monday. While there could be some light precipitation around, the majority of this will hold off until later in the day. However, I have seen the precipitation start much sooner than the models forecast in these situations. I don't envy their job one bit.
Here's a very in-depth video showing you two of the models I have been focusing in on: the GFS and NAM. Enjoy
6 comments:
NOOO I wanted snow in Jonesboro!! I really hope that this winter has an extended stay like last year!!
Big Joe!!! Give us hope again for another arctic attack!!
Thank You Mr. Todd weatherman, you have mostly left Mountain Home out of this one! We have had enough!
What in the model data (or what physics) might result in the void of moisture that exists over the northern oklahoma/southern kansas border. I am viewing the http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Imageanis.php valid at 21 UTC. I notice this data seems to replicate the NAM data to an extent, so is it the same thing? What is your opinion upon the terrain in NWA affecting the moisture/cold air interaction? Could it be possible to see the moisture slow down as it travels across the state and as a result we could see elevated precipitation in NWA. That void in the data bothers me as I do not understand why there would be any non-uniformity in that geographical region (it is super flat there).
Todd is so stressed out and that picture of him gone viral just makes it so funny! LOL!
These models are a complete bust. What gives? We need some new PDEs.
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