The latest run of the GFS indicates highs Sunday now in the lower 50s and lows Monday morning in the upper 30s with rain likely. Many times the model temperature is too high in these situations. I want to stress here, we are only looking at rain... nothing frozen whatsoever! It's only Wednesday so the scenario could still change. I'll have more later.
Starting today, if you click on "comments" a window will pop up. You can read what everyone is saying here and add you own comment.
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As promised, the trip Ninja took to Norman, OK for the National Weather Festival is up on the blog. If you're into storm chasing, you're going to want to check out this video then click on "Ninja's Corner" at the top of the page. I'm already making plans to head out there with him next year.
Many of you have heard the rumors of colder weather for the last half of the month which could make Arkansas go "Cold Turkey" Starting next week, the pattern is set for amplification. This means a significant ridge of high pressure will build into western Canada with a trough downstream. The western Canadian ridge will be able to tap into colder air and deliver shots of it southward into the United States. So what about precipitation? I expect at least a couple rounds of cold rain. I'm not going to speculate about wintry weather, but I'm watching it and all the bloggers are watching it as well.
The National Weather Service release of their long range outlook over the past few days caught some attention. It basically backs up the theory of a colder pattern developing. The areas of deep purple means there's a high level of confidence of below average temperatures. How much those temperatures drop is hard to say, but considering the warm fall, it will be welcomed my most of us!!!!!!
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| 6 to 10 day outlook |
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| 8-14 day outlook |
9 comments:
Hello Everyone, Taking a look at the latest computer models, Nearly all the Arctic cold building in the Northern Hemisphere looks to be postioning itself in Central & Western Canada over the next 10-14 days. That's alot of cold air, If that holds true, As we see series of systems moving across the country, each time it should tap into that cold air draging it southward further into the United States, If we have a strong enough push of all that air it will be hard to stop that kind of arctic airmass. That could set the stage for some wintry weather,if there is moisture available & a cold period. We Shall See..
Can you say BURRRRRR Rabbit? LOL..I guess I better get that firewood soon!!
just curious but are yall talking about it getting cold this Sunday/ Monday? The forecast still shows 60's? That will be crazy! It's so warm right now. Can't Wait! I love the blog! Yall do a great job!
It now says 50s if that warm! NWS
Hello Everyone, Just a few comments on this boring weather evening before, Things get a little more interesting. I know many of the recent models are not showing the arctic cold being delievered this far south over the last few runs.I feel that will change as we draw closer to next week, The models do not do a good job with Arctic Airmasses, As Todd stated in the interview, sometime the models do not see the cold air even when it is on top of you.I know many sources out there are comparing this La Nina year with the year 1995-96, Well, If that's the case, I remember Feb.3 & 4 of 1996, Us here in Northern La had heavy sleet, with Thunder & Lightning with Temps in the mid 20's, I beleive Southern Arkansas was hit pretty bad at that same time, followed by low's in the 5-12 degree range. So, We still might have some good winter to hag our hat on, even as we head into the later part of winter also. We Shall See...
Well, the GFS only wants to go into the upper 30s in southern Arkansas. What are the chances of seeing some mix in Arkansas Sunday-Tuesday?? lol
While I see a cold rain in our near future, I just can't buy in to the possibility of a wintery mix. Hopefully I'm wrong!
whats the news about the turnaround? We need details! Please. :)
Well Todd looks like the cold and wet pattern is not going happen. Do you think we will still get some rain in the next few days?
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