We'll start off with the European as it shows an area of surface low pressure moving into the Great Lakes. You can clearly see a strong surface high in southeast Montana. This is 1040 mb or maybe slightly higher. The Tuesday morning map featured the surface low in NE Arkansas with rain for much of the state and possibly changing over to some snow before ending across northern AR. This shows a very cold Wednesday with low clouds likely across the NE half of the state and MAYBE flurries. Winds would be howling out of the north at speeds of 15-20 mph as temperatures would not get out of the 20s across the north and only low to mid 30s elsewhere. As that surface high shifted south and settles on the state, lows at the end of next week could easily be in the single digits and teens statewide. Go below for the 12Z GFS...
|12Z Euro valid Wednesday Feb. 2nd at 6 AM|
The 12Z GFS says, "what storm"? It's chilly, but not nearly as cold as the European is above. There's some light precipitation across Texas, but that's just about it. It appears there is weak low pressure zipping through the southeastern United States.
So you can see the model madness continues. I suspect we'll end up somewhere in the middle with an area of low pressure which travels further south. It's a week away so let's just be patient and watch these models sort themselves out.
|12Z GFS valid Wednesday Feb. 2nd at 6 AM|
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