As defined by my Yakoubian-Webster dictionary: Normal- Not Arkansas
There's never anything normal about it. You know that! I really think the National Weather Service should stop using the word completely and substitute with "average". It gives a false impression that there is a normal and anyone living in Arkansas knows how it can swing from one extreme to another. For example, the winter of 2010-2011 was very, very cold and this past one was quite mild. If you combine the two, you might find temperatures were "Normal" between the two. I don't think anyone would call it that so why not just use the word, "average"?
Anyway, that's not the purpose of this post. For the past several weeks, temperatures have been unseasonably mild and record breaking. We have almost lost site of what "average" for this time of the year really is. There's a CHANCE we could get closer to it soon. If you're wondering what the "average" is this time of year, we should have highs around 70 with lows near 50.
After the unsettled weather late Tuesday into Wednesday, temperatures will warm back up. Next week, the pattern shows signs of changing which could bring us back to reality.
Check out the maps below for an explanation.
|The American GFS is very similar showing the pattern amplifying at 500 mb next Tuesday morning. Look at the black lines again. There's ridging across the west and troughing across the central and east. COOLER AIR!|
|The GFS at the surface shows the front and the wet weather associated with it south of Arkansas next Tuesday morning. There's that area of high pressure coming out of Canada and it's located across the Dakota's. Nice model agreement!!!!!!|