I just wrapped up a great weekend with friends and family. Yes, I turned 40. I still can't help but wonder where it all went? It just flew right by. I guess time flies when you're having fun.
As you know we have another front moving into the state Tuesday into Wednesday with a chance for more showers and storms, but this front will not introduce a refreshing air mass. Some of the storms could become strong to severe and the Storm Prediction Center has already outlined northern Arkansas for a slight risk for severe weather. The main threats will be wind and hail.
Temperatures will stay quite warm to hot with tons of humidity into next weekend, but I want to look past that. I took a look at the European model early Monday morning and once again Monday afternoon when the new run was available. It shows something quite strange in my opinion. Next week, a very potent trough of low pressure develops over the northern United States and pushes a significant boundary into the state with cool and dry air behind it. Details and specifics this far out can NOT be trusted, but it's something to watch for and to hope for. The airmass the European is depicting would be one for the record books, but once again, I urge caution into buying something in the models that's more than a week away. Uncertainty is added since the GFS doesn't show this scenario. While it has the trough, it's not as strong and keeps the front hung up to the north.
The following maps are courtesy of weatherbell.com