Sunday, September 10, 2017

Irma To Impact Arkansas

When Arkansas receives the remnants of tropical systems, they tend to make landfall in Louisiana, Texas, and sometimes Mississippi.  This was the case with Harvey and many others including Cindy, Ike, Rita, Gustav, and Katrina to just name a few over the past 12 years.

Rarely does one make landfall over Florida and bring rain to Arkansas.  However, Irma may actually do that.  At this time, we're not expecting heavy rainfall since we'll be on the west side of the system.  You never want to be in the eastern quadrant and we shouldn't be with Irma.  Nevertheless, some rain can be expected for areas closest to the center and that's eastern Arkansas.  Also, winds will gust to 30-40mph Tuesday across the Delta.  

As of Sunday morning, Irma is a cat 4 and still has room to get stronger.  By late Tuesday into early Wednesday, it will be over western Tennessee as a remnant low.  Areas closer to it stand the best chance for some rain and that's eastern Arkansas.
By Tuesday morning, the rain may be easing into eastern Arkansas.  Cloud cover will engulf the state and temperatures should be only in the 60s and 70s for highs.
The European model has much of eastern Arkansas receiving 1'' or less.  Little if any western Arkansas.  Just like Harvey, notice the very tight rainfall gradient over central Arkansas.  There will be havs and the have nots.
Winds will also gust to around 20-30mph and maybe higher over the Delta.

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