|2011 is the 8th Snowiest Year on Record in Little Rock|
So is this it? Is this wild winter finished? Or will we add to the snow this year which now makes it the 8th snowiest on record?
We are in a La Nina pattern (Whenever I type Nina, I always type Ninja then have to correct it. LOL), the last typical La Nina occurred during the winter of 2007-2008. This winter was marked by an early and active severe weather season which is something I have talked about here since last summer. While this hasn't happened yet and we hope it doesn't, I think we must keep that in mind as we go into the end of the month and into March. You may also remember 2 huge snows on March 4th and March 7th of 2008. The March 4th snow brought heavy accumulations to Pope county with 12 inches. The March 7th snow brought 2-3 inches in central Arkansas with 6-10'' across southern and eastern portions of the state. I'm not saying that will happen, but I wanted to show you what's possible as we head into the tail end of winter.
No matter what the pattern: El Nino, La Nina, La Ninja, or La Nothing, the transition from winter to spring is typically wild with major temperature swings and extreme weather. The break we are getting now is nice, but will not last. After this week, I expect a cooler pattern to evolve, but not cold. Rain chances will begin to increase as a front should get hung up in the region with waves of rain. A southwesterly flow aloft is not conducive to pushing fronts in and out. With a huge trough developing in the western United States, this type of pattern brings unsettled weather into the state. I also see large amounts of arctic air building into Canada again. At the same time, a broad ridge of high pressure across the Gulf into the Atlantic will promote a clash between the seasons in the middle. This is why our weather will get active in the weeks to come.