11:30 PM Saturday Update.... North Little Rock received 2.3 inches of rain in just a little more than one hour. This is absolutely dangerous if you're out and about. Street flooding is a major concern. This is just round one of several rounds of rain over the next 3 days. Remember the NWS slogan, "Turn Around, Don't Drown." I urge everyone to pay attention to flood waters, especially if you live in a flood prone area!
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Over the past year or so, I have been dedicated to twitter and will continue to do so. I know how big facebook is and thought I would try to reach a whole new audience and bring them here to the Arkansas Weather Blog. In case you haven't visited, this is the only place on the web dedicated to in depth analysis of BIG weather events in Arkansas. Almost everyone on here describes themselves as true "Weather Geeks"!! By the way, our promotions manager at KATV ordered a bunch of new "Arkansas Weather Blog" t-shirts. You must follow me on facebook and twitter to find out how you can one FREE.
It's amazing to see how we have gone from a severe drought to floods. Sometimes mother nature can snap like a rubber band and go from one extreme to another. First off, we have the threat for severe weather today. This is not a huge threat and will not be an outbreak! I suspect a few strong to severe thunderstorms will erupt late this afternoon and persist into the evening for a few hours. The main threat will be wind, hail, and we can't rule out an isolated tornado, but that threat is low. There will also be a threat for severe weather Sunday, but again, the main threat will be some wind and hail.
I can't emphasize enough the flash flooding danger, especially for northeastern Arkansas due to the extremely high water already in place. I talked to KAIT chief meteorologist Ryan Vaughan this morning about the situation up there. The town of Pocahontas is drowning. The Black river is flooding along with the White River as both are at major flood stage. The situation could only get worse.
A frontal boundary will once again work into the state and stall. The upper level wind flow will parallel the front which means it will not get a push out of the state. As it stalls out and meanders around the Natural State, several waves of rainfall will develop as a series of disturbances interact with the front. This shows no signs of letting up until Tuesday. Check out the maps below.