|This is the NAM for early Friday afternoon showing high levels of instability over the eastern portions of the state. This will be monitored closely over the the next 24-36 hours.|
We have been following the chance for some severe weather for late Thursday for quite awhile here on the blog and it does appear the storm system is coming together.
Once again, this is coming into central Arkansas in the middle of the night which is much better than the heating of the day. However, there will still be strong to severe thunderstorms, especially across eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas late Thursday afternoon and evening. The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of the Sooner state in a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms. Check out the models below.
|The GFS valid Friday at 1 AM shows plenty of instability for the SW half of the state as the unstable air gets drawn into the low.|
|SPC has most of Arkansas under a slight risk for severe weather with the moderate risk over eastern OK into KS.|