Our next chance for significant severe weather is on the horizon. It's Sunday with a potent low and associated cold front Sunday afternoon. It's wayyy too early to speculate about specifics, but the chance is elevated enough for the Storm Prediction Center to highlight most of Arkansas for a risk.
|GFS 500 mb map showing the upper level energy swinging close to Arkansas. The main low is well north of the state.|
|The GFS shows a band of rain and storms by 7 PM Sunday afternoon crossing the state|
|By Sunday afternoon, the GFS indicates a high levels of moisture (fuel) in the state. Notice how it drops off (blacks and reds) in northwest Arkansas westward. That's the dry air behind the front.|
|The Storm Prediction Center highlights a good chunk of the state for a threat for severe weather.|