6:15 PM Tuesday Update... Sorry I haven't been able to update the blog today. It's my day off and I have been spending as much time as possible with my family.
I want to let everyone know that the computer models show a threat for strong/severe thunderstorms late Friday. Remember though, just 48 hours ago, it showed cold and snow and now it has thunderstorms. Even though we are closer to the time frame, I'm not completely buying the outlook for strong/severe thunderstorms YET, BUT I want you to know now what's going on with all the data. I'll post more about the situation later. Remember though, it's La Nina! Active and early severe weather season!
9:30 AM Tuesday Update... I will have a new blog post soon. As expected, the models continue to change their tune. The massive cold air does not look likely this weekend, but it will get cooler. While we're flirting with 70 now, temperatures will drop into the 40s and 50s for highs. It's MUCH cooler, but that's actually where we should be this time of the year. Again, more info coming soon!!
For all of us snow lovers, it has been a tough winter! I continue to look for any signs of colder air and I think I see SOME promise down the road. Nothing snowy yet, but we must have a pattern change at some point to deliver the cold air. The European model and now the GFS shows the jet stream buckling a little. This amplification can lead to the transport of colder air masses into portions of the country. The way the models are showing the set up now, it would bring a shot of cold air into the central and eventually the eastern United States. I want to remind everyone here that this is the long range and so much can change! I find it very hard to believe we will go through February without something wintry. You know I'll watch it for you!!!!
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|This is the Euro late next Saturday showing the continued push of cold air from Canada. IF this would verify, look for highs in the 30s with lows in the teens and 20s.|
|The GFS also shows the cold air at the surface, but it's a bit further to the east.|