Sunday, June 10, 2012

Bring On The Rain!

If it rain in Amity, this dog will be named after me.
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On my facebook page, Teria Franklin of Amity promises to name her new puppy after me if it rains there on Monday.  So that just adds to the reasons why we need some rainfall.  Right now, the wildfire danger across portions of central Arkansas is classified as high while the remainder of the state is moderate.  There are also many counties under a burn bad as our rainfall deficit continues to grow across the state.

It appears the pattern of summer may be settling in right now.  It will allow fronts to periodically get close to the state and even enter Arkansas giving us some rain chances.  This is going to turn out to be one of those situations where some get good rainfall and others will not.  We have one of those fronts entering the state Monday afternoon and the best chance for showers and storms will initially exist across the north, then more may develop Tuesday morning into Wednesday across central and southern Arkansas.  There's the potential for some less humid air to briefly visit northern sections of the state while the front meanders around southern sections of the Natural State.  The computer models want to weaken the boundary, but keep it around through Thursday.  While rain chances will decrease at that time, at least there's something to watch.  This is unlike the last two summers when strong ridges of high pressure dominated our weather pattern and we literally cooked.

Also, if you want "bonus" information.  I'm taking friend requests on my personal facebook page.  It's just another place to have fun and interact.  Check it out and click here.

Check out the maps below...

By early in the afternoon Monday, hi res modeling indicates an area of rain and storms moving across western into northern Arkansas.  Some of these may produce gusty winds and hail.  The focus initially will be across the northern half of the state.
By early Tuesday morning, the hi res modeling suggests the development of a few showers and storms as the front drifts into central and southern Arkansas.
HPC shows up to 1.3 inches of rainfall across central sections.  As I have said before, this is NOT a guarantee.  Some places will get the rain while others may not.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Arkansas under a slight risk for some severe weather Monday.  The main threat will be hail and wind.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Yes, I've noticed that our Summer isn't beginning so badly. Will July and August be similar to June? Around average temperatures, hopefully?

Anonymous said...

Can someone tell me whether the winter of 2010-2011 was an El Nino or a La Nina?