FOLLOW ON FACEBOOK: TODD YAKOUBIAN
Long title, but you get the point! The pattern change we discussed here last weekend looks likely to happen. Read the previous 2 posts for more analysis. When I woke up this morning (Friday), I looked at the HPC 5 day outlook for rainfall and it showed widespread 2'' + amounts for most of the state. I'm having a tough time believing that for a couple reasons. First, this maps updates twice daily and it always seems to reflect the latest version of the GFS model which runs 4 times a day and can be quite erratic. Second, once you're in a drought, it's tough to break it! While I expect rain in the state, I don't want you to be disappointed if you don't get as much as projected in this map. Due to the convective nature of the expected rainfall next week, it's more likely some places see a bunch of rain while others do not. I hope I'm wrong and everyone gets the rain. Also, I expect some of these storms to become strong and maybe even severe. I do NOT expect an outbreak at this time whatsoever, but I just want everyone to be aware of that since it is summertime and many spend it in pools and on the lakes. Be prepared to get out of the water if you hear thunder or see lightning.
As far as temperatures are concerned, with the clouds and rain around, readings will be much lower. I expect some 80s up north to 90s south. If we can get the front to push all the way through, drier air will work into the state eventually making for some awesome overnight lows. We'll see about that, but right now, BRING ON THE RAIN!!!!!!