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7:15AM Thursday Update.... First of all, happy Independence Day! Hope you have a great and safe one with your friends and family. The weather has been nothing short of amazing. As promised, the opening to July will likely go down as the coolest in many years and no one is complaining. Andria and I were going to take the boys swimming at our neighborhood pool in the morning earlier this week, but we decided it was too cool for them. Who would have thought it would be too cool to swim in early July in Arkansas? Anyway, we went in the afternoon and it was a blast. However, whenever Blake got out of the water, he was shivering. The dry air and breeze was a great lesson in evaporative cooling. Try explaining that to a 3 year old. He kept saying he wanted to get back into the water because it was warmer.
Well, sometimes you hit long range forecasts and sometimes you don't. We nailed the cooler air before anyone else was even thinking about it. I thought the chance for rain would increase this weekend, but it's looking more and more like the rainfall will stay east of the state. The combination of the surface high off the east coast pumping in TONS of Gulf moisture and the area of low pressure aloft has produced record amounts of rain across the southeastern United States. I thought this area would eventually shift far enough west to bring some rain here, but it's not looking good. I do think rain chances may increase a little next week, but this weekend is not going to be rainy. There could be a few isolated afternoon showers and storms however so keep that in the back of your mind if you're doing anything outdoors.
Take a look at this map of rainfall over the past 7 days according to radar estimates.
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Noon Tuesday Update... This weather is absolutely incredible. I mowed the lawn and barely broke a sweat. It's noon on Tuesday and the temperature in west Little Rock hit 80 for the first time today. During a typical summer day, we could already be in the mid and upper 90s at this time.
I have no changes to what we first told you several days ago. Next weekend, rain chances will be on the increase. Not to the point where it's a wash out, but scattered to numerous showers and storms will be possible, especially during the heating of the day. We'll have a few days where that pattern will exist and it's possible this could make it the wettest July since 2009
As we indicated Monday, record lows would be possible last night and the National Weather Service has compiled a list. Here it is.
Almost a week ago I posted the idea we could have the coolest opening to July in years. The official high temperature Monday was 87 which makes it the coolest July 1st since 2007 when the high temperature was 85 with a little rainfall that day.
Well, sometimes you hit long range forecasts and sometimes you don't. We nailed the cooler air before anyone else was even thinking about it. I thought the chance for rain would increase this weekend, but it's looking more and more like the rainfall will stay east of the state. The combination of the surface high off the east coast pumping in TONS of Gulf moisture and the area of low pressure aloft has produced record amounts of rain across the southeastern United States. I thought this area would eventually shift far enough west to bring some rain here, but it's not looking good. I do think rain chances may increase a little next week, but this weekend is not going to be rainy. There could be a few isolated afternoon showers and storms however so keep that in the back of your mind if you're doing anything outdoors.
Take a look at this map of rainfall over the past 7 days according to radar estimates.
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| Rainfall totals according to doppler radar are as high as 8'' or more from Florida up the east coast over the past 7 days. It appears the axis of moisture will stay east of the state. We NEED some rainfall, but we'll have to wait a little longer. |
Noon Tuesday Update... This weather is absolutely incredible. I mowed the lawn and barely broke a sweat. It's noon on Tuesday and the temperature in west Little Rock hit 80 for the first time today. During a typical summer day, we could already be in the mid and upper 90s at this time.
I have no changes to what we first told you several days ago. Next weekend, rain chances will be on the increase. Not to the point where it's a wash out, but scattered to numerous showers and storms will be possible, especially during the heating of the day. We'll have a few days where that pattern will exist and it's possible this could make it the wettest July since 2009
As we indicated Monday, record lows would be possible last night and the National Weather Service has compiled a list. Here it is.
RECORD EVENT REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1015 AM CDT TUE JUL 2 2013
...SEVERAL RECORD LOWS TIED OR BROKEN FOR JULY 2ND...
7/2 PREVIOUS RECORD TEMPERATURE
LOCATION LOW LOW FOR 7/2 RECORDS SINCE
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CALICO ROCK 2WSW 53 57 IN 1950 1915
MOUNTAIN VIEW 56 57 IN 2010 1962
MURFREESBORO 1W 57 57 IN 1976 1970
SPARKMAN 57 62 IN 2008 1963
CABOT 4SW 58 60 IN 2008 1965
LEOLA 58 61 IN 1995 1963
JACKSONVILLE/LITTLE ROCK AFB 59 62 IN 1985 1956
CLARKSVILLE 6NE 60 61 IN 2006 1986
FORDYCE 60 62 IN 2008 1911
ROHWER 2NNE 61 62 IN 2008 1959
HOT SPRINGS AIRPORT 62 63 IN 1995 1948
STUTTGART AIRPORT 62 64 IN 1995 1942
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Almost a week ago I posted the idea we could have the coolest opening to July in years. The official high temperature Monday was 87 which makes it the coolest July 1st since 2007 when the high temperature was 85 with a little rainfall that day.
The remainder of this post will be brief and I'll have more soon. I expect a piece of the current trough over the central United States to park itself somewhere over the Red River Valley of Texas/Oklahoma late in the week. This will combine with Gulf of Mexico moisture to bring enhanced rain chances this upcoming weekend and the beginning of next week. This will be the type of situation where scattered to numerous showers and storms can be expected during the afternoon with much of it fading away at night. It's possible this feature will make this the wettest July in Little Rock since 2009. Also, while moisture will be on the increase, our daytime highs should NOT approach 100 degrees with the proximity of the low and the added rain and clouds. Again, I'll have more information on this later OR you can watch the video in the previous blog post for more details.
Record low temperatures will be challenged in several locations over the next couple nights. Here's a list compiled by the National Weather Service office in North Little Rock.
LOCATION JULY 2ND JULY 3RD JULY 4TH BATESVILLE AIRPORT 57 IN 1948 56 IN 1945 55 IN 1947 BOONEVILLE 55 IN 1943 57 IN 1947 54 IN 1968 CAMDEN 55 IN 1950 56 IN 1924 53 IN 1924 CLARKSVILLE 58 IN 1985 57 IN 1959 55 IN 1968 CONWAY 54 IN 1924 55 IN 1959 52 IN 1924 FLIPPIN 55 IN 1985 51 IN 1959 50 IN 1968 GILBERT 52 IN 1943 55 IN 1968 49 IN 1940 HARDY 57 IN 1918 60 IN 1918 53 IN 1922 HOT SPRINGS AIRPORT 56 IN 1997 53 IN 1969 56 IN 1967 JACKSONVILLE/LRAFB 62 IN 1985 62 IN 1959 59 IN 1968 LITTLE ROCK 58 IN 1924 59 IN 1924 56 IN 1968 MONTICELLO 52 IN 1887 58 IN 1985 54 IN 1961 NORTH LITTLE ROCK 64 IN 1995 68 IN 2004 64 IN 1995 PINE BLUFF 56 IN 1924 59 IN 1918 58 IN 1959 RUSSELLVILLE 58 IN 1948 57 IN 1967 55 IN 1968 STUTTGART AIRPORT 64 IN 1995 64 IN 1945 65 IN 1945
1 comment:
Cool evenings and nights....keep it coming....
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