1:45 PM Monday Update... With each new model run, forecasting the coolest air so far this season is gaining more confidence.
There's going to be a rather large temperature swing from Friday into Saturday. Some locations may get very close to 90 Friday, then only make it into the 60s for high temperatures on Saturday and Sunday with lows in the 40s. There could even be some 30s across far northern Arkansas. Beyond this cold front, I noted in the original blog post that the blast of cool air will be short lived. However, the newest run of the Euro says "not so fast my friend." While it's too early to forecast this, it's hinting the cooler air may stick around a lot longer with a tough developing over the central and eastern United States. This would prolong the great air mass deeper into October!
Here are a couple maps from the run of the European model this morning.
We always look for that first real cold front of the fall which brings enough chill to the air, many rush to the store and buy ingredients for chili. If it's real chili, it has NO beans in it, IMO
As first discussed here a few days ago, the coolest air of the season so far is scheduled to arrive late this week. While there are timing differences between the two major models I look at, both the GFS and the Euro shows the cool air mass settling in next weekend. While I know many of you have been awaiting this for several months, this batch of cool air will likely not last all that long. The below average temperatures should be in and out within just a few days and we'll begin another warm up. More on that later, let's just enjoy what we have in "front" of us!
|The 18Z Sunday run of the GFS model shows a little slower scenario. This brings the front through Arkansas Saturday morning. However, no matter which model you look at, both show the colder air making a visit into Arkansas. But how cold?|