IF we hit 100 degrees, it will be the 2nd latest first 100 degree day in Little Rock weather history. The first latest 100 degree day is September 6th, 1922. Hopefully the models are running a little too hot with their output and that has been the case this summer. Also, any moisture in the ground will also slow the ascent to triple digit heat. No matter what, the heat index will be outrageous this week. That "feels like" temperature will be around 105 degrees or higher and heat advisories may be required.
The models are hinting at some tropical development later next week in the Gulf of Mexico. The Tuesday overnight run of the GFS brought a hurricane up into the northern Gulf and then the next run shifted it further into the eastern Gulf. Bottom line, don't hang your hat on any one solution, but let's watch this. We are going into the most active time of the year for tropical storms/hurricanes. It's wayyyyyy too early to say if anything will develop and if it does, where it will go.
Below are maps from weatherbell.com
|GFS temperatures just off the surface Friday high temperatures may be near 100.|
|Highs Saturday afternoon will get very close to 100 degrees. Remember, the heat index will be around 105 or higher.|
|Sunday's highs (August 25th) could be right at 100 degrees.|
|Monday looks like a sizzler too with triple digit heat according to this model.|
|And next Tuesday could be horrible too.|