Is it ever going to snow? I think I get asked that at least a dozen times a day, and that's just from my kids! We are now at the half way point through meteorological winter which runs from December to the end of February. However, we all know big snows are possible even into March.
Snow lovers around the state are looking far and wide for a few flakes, but have been very disappointed. It's very important to remember our snowiest months are January and February. The past couple years have really spoiled us with big snow and ice events in December.
Early last fall, I used the company, Weatherbell, for a long range winter forecast. They predicted below average temperatures and that has worked out well so far. They also predicted snowfall around the state to be 100 to 133% of average. For central Arkansas, average is only 3 inches. By their prediction, we should be around 3-5 inches this winter and there's plenty of time for that to verify. That's much less than the previous 2 winters!
I keep hearing people ask where the harsh winter is? I don't know where those predictions came from? Was it the Farmer's Almanac or somebody on Facebook making a bold forecast just for the "shares"? I really don't know. It could turn out to be harsh, but it hasn't been so far.
As I posted here on the blog more than a week ago, the January Thaw is here, but should only last 4-5 days. I expect well above average temperatures through Tuesday, then it will turn cooler. Not cold, but cooler. The very end of the month could feature well below average temperatures!
Don't give up snow lovers. It only takes 1 storm to satisfy the kid in us. We can get 3-5 inches in just a few short hours. We'll see.
|Meteorological winter (December 1 through now) has been below average, but only by 1-2 degrees Celsius. That's taking into account the 7 degrees F below average in January and the 2.2 degrees F above average in December.|