|SPC day 2 outlook.|
Our moisture levels are still very, very low and it will take awhile to reach levels which will support severe weather. Generally, when we see dew point temperatures reach the mid and upper 50s, we really start to pay attention. This should happen Saturday night into Sunday. The chance for rain and storms Saturday will mainly stay across Oklahoma and far western Arkansas. Rain and thunderstorms will increase Saturday night for other areas of the state, but this should not be too bad. Sunday afternoon, a vigorous disturbance should approach Arkansas. At this time, dew point temperatures are forecast to rise into the low to mid 60s. Much of the severe aspect of this will depend on the amount of instability. If we break out into sunshine, we will have the potential for hail, high winds, and even the risk for isolated tornadoes. The window for the severe weather should be limited to only a few hours with this situation. Also, wind speeds this Sunday into Monday will also be elevated. Even with the recent rainfall, this could enhance the wildfire danger.
|Storm Prediction Center places most of Arkansas in a slight risk Sunday|