Monday, April 11, 2016

Severe Storm Specifics

10:15AM Update... Remember my thoughts about how morning clouds and rain will play a role in determining where the greatest severe weather threat will play out?  Most of the state is under thick cloud cover this morning, especially central and north.  While clouds exist across southern Arkansas, there has been little if any rainfall there and any breaks in the clouds will add to destabilization.  While I don't make the severe weather outlooks, I have a feeling the "enhanced" area will be trimmed back further to the south.  While the threat for severe weather continues for much of the state, at this time, I have a feeling most of it will be across far southern Arkansas into Louisiana and Texas.

10AM visible satellite imagery.   We are covered up in clouds and that helps keep things stable.

Noon simulated radar shows showers and storms over central and western Arkansas.  Some could be strong and maybe borderline severe with hail and wind the main threats.

2PM simulated radar shows storms across the south.  Some strong to severe.

4PM shows scattered to numerous showers and storms over the south.  Some strong and maybe severe.
8PM simulated radar indicates things are winding down across the south.

In the video I produced last night (Sunday), I mentioned the chance morning rain/storms could help determine where the highest threat for severe weather may exist.  This video goes over the newest model data, specific threats, and timing as we expect another round of storms later today.

Remember, follow @KATVNews on twitter for instant watches and warnings.

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